Colgate
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 92.9971Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 A Penn State B1G ( 9- 5, 99.2) 14-18 208 A Virginia ACC (10- 6, 98.6) 14-19 214 A Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 3-10, 88.8) 7- 6 217 A Harvard Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.7) 8-17 228 H Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 11-13 307 A Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 6- 8, 90.3) 10-11 314 A Bucknell Patriot ( 8- 7, 91.9) 12-14 321 H Boston University Patriot ( 8- 6, 94.7) 14-12 328 A Navy Patriot ( 7- 7, 94.0) 16-15 404 H Lafayette Patriot ( 5- 9, 90.6) 11- 8 410 H Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 9- 7 418 A Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 98.6) 7-14 424 A Army West Point Patriot (13- 3, 98.0) 6-17 428 A Bucknell Patriot ( 8- 7, 91.9) 6- 5 501 N Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 8-13 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A Penn State 14-18 -4 -8 + 3.00
208 A Virginia 14-19 -5 -7 1.99
214 A Hobart 7- 6 1 3 -1.83
217 A Harvard 8-17 -9 -5 -1.97
228 H Loyola 11-13 -2 0 - -2.05
307 A Holy Cross (MA) 10-11 -1 1 - -2.35
314 A Bucknell 12-14 -2 0 -1.71
321 H Boston University 14-12 2 0 + 2.31
328 A Navy 16-15 1 -2 + 3.36
404 H Lafayette 11- 8 3 4 -0.77
410 H Lehigh 9- 7 2 0 + 2.36
418 A Syracuse 7-14 -7 -7 0.00
424 A Army West Point 6-17 -11 -6 -0.58
428 A Bucknell 6- 5 1 0 1.29
501 N Loyola 8-13 o -5 -1 - -3.68
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Loyola 11-13 -2 0 - -2.05 307 A Holy Cross (MA) 10-11 -1 1 - -2.35 501 N Loyola 8-13 o -5 -1 - -3.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 A Penn State 14-18 -4 -8 + 3.00 321 H Boston University 14-12 2 0 + 2.31 328 A Navy 16-15 1 -2 + 3.36 410 H Lehigh 9- 7 2 0 + 2.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Penn State ( 9- 5, 99.2) 14-18 -0.67 19.93 1.38 0.95 -0.34
0 A Virginia (10- 6, 98.6) 14-19 -1.29 19.31 1.38 0.95 -0.04
0 A Hobart ( 3-10, 88.8) 7- 6 -11.11 9.49 1.38 0.95 20.73
0 A Harvard ( 9- 5, 96.7) 8-17 -3.24 17.35 1.38 0.95 -0.89
0 H Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 11-13 -5.58 15.02 -1.38 0.95 -3.32
0 A Holy Cross (MA ( 6- 8, 90.3) 10-11 -9.63 10.97 1.38 0.95 -3.94
0 A Bucknell ( 8- 7, 91.9) 12-14 -7.99 12.61 1.38 0.95 -3.16
0 H Boston Univers ( 8- 6, 94.7) 14-12 -5.22 15.38 -1.38 0.95 26.72
0 A Navy ( 7- 7, 94.0) 16-15 -5.91 14.69 1.38 0.95 30.65
0 H Lafayette ( 5- 9, 90.6) 11- 8 -9.29 11.30 -1.38 0.95 18.95
0 H Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 9- 7 -5.16 15.43 -1.38 0.95 26.83
0 A Syracuse (11- 5, 98.6) 7-14 -1.26 19.34 1.38 0.95 -0.06
0 A Army West Poin (13- 3, 98.0) 6-17 -1.86 18.74 1.38 0.95 -0.23
0 A Bucknell ( 8- 7, 91.9) 6- 5 -7.99 12.61 1.38 0.95 26.68
0 N Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 8-13 -5.58 15.02 -0.00 0.95 -2.66
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135.92
|
winning pts = 150.5553 losing points = -14.6344
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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